International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development
Volume 3, Issue 1, April 2017, Pages 113-121
Government Expenditure on Rural Development and Economic Growth in Cameroon
¹Belinga Thierry, ²Zhou Jun, ³Hu Guohui
¹ ² ³Wuhan University of Technology, School of Economics, 122 Luoshi Road, 430070, China
Abstract: This paper examines the impact of government investment in rural development on economic growth in Cameroon during the period 2000-2015. After computing the government investment in rural areas using the annual total amount invested in the ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development added to the budget allocated to the ministry of farming, animal and husbandry, we run a regression model with the ordinary least squares method to find that despite the measures taken by the government to improve the socio-economic life of rural people, there is no significant impact of the Rural Investment on the Economic Growth in Cameroon, implying that the government should implement some strategic policies that will enable the rural people to produce more and have a consistent impact on the overall national production growth.
Keywords: Rural Finance, Microfinance, GDP, Agriculture, Government Expenditure.
Access to finance is generally considered difficult by development actors in Cameroon. There are two main reasons for this, namely, non-specification of financing by type of operator; the reduced volume of financial allocations for rural development.
Regarding the non-specification of the problems of access to credit by the rural actors, we find that in Cameroon those issues are dealt without taking into consideration the differences between the rural economic investors. On the one hand, operators with capacities and resources of different importance within the same sector and, on the other hand, operators operating different activities in rural areas. It can be seen that the financing needs of a family farm differ widely from those of an agro-industry, just as those of a breeder are not very similar to those of a fisherman. One implication of such an issue is that, we don’t have a good financing system that takes into account the investment challenges of the rural sector in Cameroon. In this paper, we would like to cover mainly the government rural investments in Cameroon, the rural development financing policies and find the impact on the economic growth.
2. Literature Review
The level of public resources allocated to the rural sector is estimated to be low in relation to its contribution to the economy. Indeed, while the sector generates 20-30% of national wealth, about 3.75% of public spending is devoted to it (2016), with an average of 2.8% over the period 2000 – 2015 (Table 1), despite the ratios of 25% required. Recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) for agricultural economies such as Cameroon and the commitments under the New Partnership for African Development agreement (NEPAD) that required at least 10% of the budget invested in rural development. It should also be noted that the mobilization of these resources does not sufficiently take into account the specificities of the sector such as the constraints of the agricultural calendar.
Table 1: Government Investments in Rural Sector
|Total of the Budget||1298||1476||1545||1509||1617||1721||1861||2251|
|Agriculture and Rural Dvpt.||23.64||26.47||26.56||28.15||28.06||29.80||32.25||40.13|
|Animals Farming and Fishing||5.26||5.97||6.52||7.94||7.04||7.75||7.58||10.04|
|Rural Development Budget||28.89||32.43||33.08||36.08||35.09||37.54||39.83||50.17|
|% of Rural Finance (% Total Annual Budget)||2.23||2.20||2.14||2.39||2.17||2.18||2.14||2.23|
|Evolution of Rural Dvpt. Financing||12.2||2.00||9.07||-2.74||6.97||6.11||25.95|
|Total of The Budget||2276||2301||2570||2571||2800||3236||3312||3746.6|
|Agriculture and Rural Dvpt.||39.77||55.75||52.51||71.42||78.86||95.52||98.36||108.69|
|Animals Farming and Fishing||9.48||15.6||22.89||20.99||25.71||28.77||29.92||31.71|
|Rural Development Budget||49.24||71.4||75.40||92.41||104.57||124.28||128.28||140.40|
|% Of Rural Finance (% Total Annual Budget)||2.16||3.10||2.93||3.59||3.73||3.84||3.87||3.75|
|Evolution of Rural Dvpt. Financing||-1.84||45.06||5.55||22.56||13.16||18.85||3.22||9.45|
Source: Ministry of Finance, Government National Budget (2000-2015)
2.1 Rural agriculture and economic development
Agricultural economists have long focused on how agriculture can best contribute to overall economic growth and modernization. Many early analysts such as Rosenstein-Rodan (1943), Lewis (1954) Scitovsky (1954) Hirschman (1958) Jorgenson (1961), Fei and Ranis (1961) highlighted agriculture because of its abundance of resources and its ability to transfer surpluses to the more important industrial sector. The conventional approach to the roles of agriculture in development concentrated on agriculture’s important market-mediated linkages: (i) providing labour for an urbanized industrial work force; (ii) producing food for expanding high income populations; (iii) supplying savings for investment in industry; (iv) enlarging markets for industrial outcomes; (v) providing export benefits to pay for imported goods; and (vi) producing primary materials for agro-processing industries (Johnston and Mellor, 1961; Ranis et al., 1990; Pingali et al., 1994; Timmer, 2002).
There are good reasons that justify these early approaches focused on agriculture’s economic roles as a one-way path involving the flow of resources towards the industrial sector and urban centers. In agrarian societies with few trading opportunities, most resources are devoted to the provision of food. As national incomes rise, the demand for food increases much more slowly than other goods and services. As a result, value added from the farm household’s own labour, land and capital, as a share of the gross value of agricultural output falls over time. Farmers’ increasing use of purchased intermediate inputs and off-farm services add to the relative decline of the producing agriculture sector, in terms of overall GDP and employment (Timmer, 1988, 1997; Pingali, 1997).
Rapid agricultural productivity growth is a pre-requisite for the market mediated linkages to be mutually beneficial. Productivity growth that resulted from agricultural R&D has had an enormous impact on food supplies and food prices, and consequent beneficial impacts on food security and poverty reduction (Hayami and Herdt, 1977; Pinstrup-Andersen et al., 1976; Binswanger, 1980; Hazell and Haggblade, 1993).
Agricultural productivity growth also triggers the generation of non-market mediated linkages between the agricultural sector and the rest of the economy. These include the in-direct contributions of a vibrant agricultural sector to: food security and poverty alleviation; safety net and buffer role; and the supply of environmental services (FAO, 2004a). While agriculture’s direct, private contributions to farm households are tangible, easy to understand and simple to quantify, its numerous in-direct benefits tend to be overlooked in assessing rates of returns. Ignoring the whole range of economic and social contributions of agriculture underestimates the returns to investment in the sector (Valdes and foster, 2005).
Substantial empirical evidence exists on the positive relationship between agricultural growth and economic development (see Valdes and Foster, 2005). The transformation of agriculture from its traditional subsistence roots, induced by technical change, to a modernizing and eventually industrialized agriculture sector is a phenomenon observed across the developing world. However, there are also a large number of countries that have stalled in the transformation process or have yet to “get agriculture moving”. These are almost always countries that are classified as the “least developed”. Even within countries that are well on the pathway towards agricultural transformation there are significant inter-regional differences (Eastern India, for example). Some of the reasons for the poor performance of their agriculture are as follows:
- Low and inelastic demand for agricultural output due to low population density and poor market access conditions;
- Poor provision of public good investments in rural areas;
- Lack of technology R&D on commodities and environments important to the poor;
- High share of agro-climatically constrained land resources; and
- Institutional barriers to enhancing productivity growth.
Will globalization make a difference? Will trade integration and increased global inter- connectedness enhance or impede the process of agricultural transformation for countries that have successfully used agriculture as an “engine of growth”. What about countries at the low end of the transformation pathway? These questions are addressed in the rest of the paper.
2.2 Agricultural investment and appropriate technologies
Identifying the characteristics of agriculture in Africa does not explain why yields are low. There are two broad problems. The ﬁrst is lack of appropriate technology and the second is lack of adoption. Whereas the former calls for better targeting of research to African countries and their conditions, the latter demands a reduction in the barriers to technology adoption. Of course, the problem of low yields may also be a combination of both inappropriate technology and barriers to adoption.
Agricultural R&D and its capacity to produce more productive technologies are at the heart of long- run agricultural growth.9 Such new technologies triggered the Green Revolution in Asia, and in light of the limited potential for land expansion in Sub-Saharan Africa such inventions are also strongly needed for African farmers. Due to the heterogeneity of the countries and differences with, say, Asian countries, crops that have been planted in other regions might not be appropriate for Africa. Technological spillovers from high-income countries to low-income African countries are unlikely. Moreover, regional differences are large within the continent and prevent technology spillovers among African countries (Pardey et al., 2007; Binswanger-Mkhize and McCalla, 2010). These differences call for more regional speciﬁc orientations in agricultural research, which take local conditions and constraints into account. In Africa, this has been addressed by both national as well as international research organizations. In 2006, for example, the CGIAR spent 48 percent of its total budget on activities directly related to Sub-Saharan Africa. But the contribution of CGIAR research to total yield growth has been much smaller in Sub-Saharan Africa than in other regions (Binswanger- Mkhize and McCalla, 2010).
At the regional level, new institutions have been developed, such as national agricultural research systems (NARS) and the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (NEPAD). NEPAD, for example, has set a target of 6 percent agricultural growth in order to encourage public spending in this sector. Nevertheless, only a few African countries have reached that goal, whereas public spending in general has been low (during the past 30 years, 5–7 percent of the total national budget) and has fallen short of equivalent spending in other parts of the world (Fan et al., 2009). This is in stark contrast to potential returns to such expenditures. As reported by Fan et al. (2009), in some African countries, recent expenditures have been very successful in increasing agricultural productivity: one local currency unit spent on agricultural R&D has increased agricultural productivity by about 12 local currency units in Uganda and Tanzania. For Sub-Saharan Africa in general, the return to agricultural R&D and extension is estimated to be around 35 percent (IEG, 2011).
Future research will need to have a regional focus and target speciﬁc needs. Regional initiatives— such as NEPAD—are an important part of such a regional strategy. However, the mode of research is also a vital factor. Engaging farmers in such efforts, for example through participatory plant breeding, can provide valuable information to the research process. According to Ceccarelli and Grando (2007), this approach is different from normal plant breeding in three ways: the testing and selection of seeds take place on the farm, the farmers are involved in the decision making, and it can be implemented at many different locations. The participation of farmers is expected to increase the rate of adoption of new seeds.
An important agricultural R&D question is what recent biotechnology advances can do for African agriculture and whether they are the route to the continent’s Green Revolution. Poor farmers might beneﬁt especially from transgenic food crops because they are particularly disease-resistant. Estimations by Edmeades and Smale (2006) show that transgenic bananas would mostly be adopted by poor, subsistence-oriented farmers and are therefore a ‘‘pro-poor’’ variety. So far, however, transgenic crops are grown commercially only in South Africa (Eicher et al., 2006), where in 2006 transgenic white maize covered 44 percent of the total white maize area (World Bank, 2007).
3.1 Sources of Data
Data for this study is secondary in nature because the researchers were not the originators of the data. Time series data for the period 2000– 2015 on the Government expenditure on rural development and agriculture value attended were used. In a bid to explain the relationship between government expenditure, agricultural sector and economic growth, the researchers collected secondary data in its quantitative nature. This data includes the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant purchaser prices being dependent variable and agricultural sector output and government Expenditure (capital) being the independent variables. Multiple Linear Regression analysis of Ordinary Least Square (OLS) was used to analyse and estimate the parameters.
3.2 Model Specification
Model specification is a mathematical expression showing the interrelationship between the economic relationship existing between economic variables (dependent and independent). The model is a three-variable model and stated covers the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at constant prices as the dependent variable to capture economic growth while agricultural sector output and government expenditure (General) were the independent variables to capture government expenditure on agriculture in Cameroon.
Taking inference from Solow growth model, which was subsequently modified by Mankiw, Romer and Weil (1992) and is termed the “Augmented Solow growth model”, Solow (1956) postulated that economic growth resultant from the accumulation of physical capital and an expansion of the labor force in conjunction with an “exogenous” factor, technological progress, that makes physical capital and labor more productive (Udah, 2010). For the purpose of this research work the above will be adopted and build upon, proxing economic development with Gross Domestic Products (GDP); industrialization (proxy by agricultural sector value added); and government expenditure to check government commitment on the provision of infrastructural facilities that will attract investor. With this adjustment incorporated into the model, it can therefore be specified in the form expressed below:
Harrod-Domar model Y = F (K, L)
GDP = f (AGOUT, TGE, DCFS)
RGDP = Real Gross Domestic Product
AGRIVAL = Agricultural sector output
TGE = Total Government Expenditure
DCFS = Domestic Credit by the Financial Sector
The model in its stochastic form is presented as;
GDPt = β0 + β1GE + β2AGRIVAL + β3DCFS+ µ
Where: GDP = Gross Domestic Product
β0 = Intercept
β1 = Partial slope coefficient of total government expenditure.
β2 = Partial slope coefficient of agricultural sector output.
β3 = Partial slope coefficient of Domestic Credit by the Domestic Credit by the Financial Sector.
µ = the stochastic error term which denotes other explanatory variables not specified in the model.
3.3 A Priori Expectations
RGDP = β0 + β1 AGRIVAL + β2TGE + β3 DCFS µ
Where: β0, β1, β2, β3 ˃ 0
The a priori expectations of this model are based on the knowledge of the world economic theory. This implies that government expenditure on agricultural sector have a positive sign and thus denoting a positive relationship with GDP (economic growth) which is expected to exist. It is also expected that the coefficient of total government expenditure should be negative since we have less than 3% of the budget devoted to agricultural development. Thus the following is the a priori expectation of the model is:
- β1< 0
- β2 > 0
- β3 ˃ 0
4. Research Outcomes and Findings
Table 2: Descriptive Statistics
|Sum Sq. Dev.||0.238746||0.879547||0.515650||0.279925|
Source: Author using secondary data (Ministry of Finance of Cameroon and World Bank Database)
The data were analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis. The significance level is 0.1% and the result is as follows:
Table 3: Regression Coefficients
|Dependent Variable: LOGGDP|
|Method: Least Squares|
|Date: 02/22/17 Time: 00:03|
|Sample: 2000 2015|
|Included observations: 16|
|R-squared||0.990||Mean dependent var||7.014|
|Adjusted R-squared||0.988||S.D. dependent var||0.126|
|S.E. of regression||0.014||Akaike info criterion||-5.495|
|Sum squared resid||0.002||Schwarz criterion||-5.302|
|Log likelihood||47.962||Hannan-Quinn criter.||-5.485|
Source: Author using secondary data (Ministry of Finance of Cameroon and World Bank Database)
The results obtained from the equation estimated show the explanatory power of the model. About 99.50 % of the variations in the GDP which is the proxy of the economic growth is explained by variation in agricultural output and total government expenditure. This is judged by the value of the coefficient of determination (R-squared), more so, the Adjusted R-squared confirms the R-squared at 0.988, taking into consideration the degree of freedom and the inclusion or exclusion of a variable. F-statistic shows that the model is statistically fit and the variables used were fit to explain economic growth in Cameroon.
Both variables conform to the a priori expectations in that the coefficient of the agricultural output has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Cameroon. 1% increase in agricultural output will increase economic growth of Cameroon. Also, total government expenditure has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Cameroon. As the total expenditure increases, economic growth decreases. This result shows that 1% increase in total government expenditure will decrease the economic growth by -0.246%.
5. Conclusion and Recommendations
The result shows that, there is a significant relationship between the exogenous and endogenous variables, while total output complied with the a priori expectation, there exists a negative relationship between government expenditure and economic growth in Cameroon. Thus, it is recommended that government should improve and encourage agricultural outputs and improve its expenditure in the agricultural sector geared towards economic growth.
This paper concludes that government expenditure on agricultural sector has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Cameroon. This conclusion is in line with the findings of many scholars who have carried out a related work. It is recommended in the light of this study that, for any nation, to grow, especially in Cameroon, the focused of government expenditure on the rural sector should not be overlooked, thus, the government should direct its spending efforts in productive means, through increase, improve and encourage the output of the rural sector as previously shown. This will create better avenues for job creation, growth and higher GDP levels.
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